Day 1 Pick: Arizona over 77.5
Welcome to our first day of over/unders here at thnt.com. There's many ways you can start a series like this. You can pick a shocking underdog pick to set a radical tone. You can choose the play you like best, like T.J. did earlier today. Or you can just be boring and go alphabetical.

Yeah, that's the way I'm going.

So I like Arizona over 77.5 wins.

Obviously this is all about the triumphant return of the Big Unit to Chase Field. OK, that's not even remotely true. I would probably take this pick even if Randy Johnson was still in the Bronx, but I do think he will be better back in the NL and close to his home. But the real reason I like this pick is the D'backs have reigning Cy Young winner Brandon Webb and a nice addition in Doug Davis with a great young lineup behind them. With Eric Byrnes, Chad Tracy and Conor Jackson, the D'backs have a solid nucleus at the plate and Stephen Drew can't be anywhere near as injury-prone as his older brother so he should be a plus too.

On top of that, since bottoming out with 51 wins in 2004, Arizona has netted 77 and 76 wins in '05 and '06. With a positive youth movement and the addition of a couple of new arms, there's little reason to believe the D'backs won't continue to improve.

THE PICKS
Monday: T.J. picks Minnesota over 83.5; Steve picks Arizona over 77.5
Tuesday: T.J. picks ?????; Steve picks ?????
Wednesday: T.J. picks ?????; Steve picks ?????
Thursday: T.J. picks ?????; Steve picks ?????
Friday: T.J. picks ?????; Steve picks ?????